Royal-Episode
0x1ba24f4f897ac18f7ee0c6b77b2485009ff599ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-981.59
Realised
$-360.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?
689 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-552.15
- YES
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
398 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
104 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
98 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$19.37May 8, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$30.00May 8, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Turkson be the next pope?$10.00May 8, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Sarah be the next pope?$10.00May 8, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$0.00May 8, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill another coalition form the next German Government?$0.00May 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$3.07Apr 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$26.52Apr 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$39.78Apr 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?$981.59Apr 1, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$197.53Mar 17, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Mar 17, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$884.06Mar 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$850.41Mar 3, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$103.34Mar 3, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$60.00Mar 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$7.00Feb 27, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$903.07Feb 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$10.99Feb 24, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $2.90Feb 24, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $218.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.