Thankful-Artificer
0x1bb1bee61712cb05f0c2e7a5e43442db91c74617
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$32.77
Total PnL
$-52.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.67
$6.67
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 45.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.60
$10.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?
194 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
155 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.20May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.18May 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?$5.19May 15, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.47May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$4.60May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.89May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.25May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.04May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.61May 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.11May 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$77.99May 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$20.62May 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.20May 11, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".