Expert-Marker
0x1bc3ce8a693874c84d4a5144809761ee6d4bb982
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$67.61
Total PnL
$24.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
49 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$49.15
$22.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?
18 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$18.47
$12.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
33 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$10.22Mar 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?$5.91Mar 19, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?$0.00Mar 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?$15.69Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$27.03Feb 28, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?$29.13Feb 20, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?$23.89Feb 7, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.3KJan 30, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.4KJan 30, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 20?$20.69Jan 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 20?$16.62Jan 19, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMChargers vs. Patriots$17.48Jan 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET$23.81Jan 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET$12.14Jan 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Patriots$11.36Jan 10, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Maple Leafs$17.20Dec 28, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5PM ET$41.94Dec 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Maple Leafs$6.02Dec 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5PM ET$21.39Dec 8, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Canucks$0.00Dec 4, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $193.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".