0x1bcdb0109410e6a33d4716ca28a5e10f6071e130
0x1bcdb0109410e6a33d4716ca28a5e10f6071e130
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.19
Total PnL
$-7.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$1.09
$0.10
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.1¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.25
$-0.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 16?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?$1.00Apr 19, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?$1.09Apr 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.27Apr 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Mar 27, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?$1.00Mar 19, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?$1.04Mar 19, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 26?$1.10Mar 19, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$2.00Mar 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 26?$1.00Feb 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?$1.00Feb 3, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?$1.05Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.06Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 20?$1.10Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 2?$1.19Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 4?$1.27Jan 5, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.