Thoughtful-Attachment
0x1bd827a6943ae682c360ea1841fb0b787eaede8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 1?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
1805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
1501 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
1401 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$94.09Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$94.01Jun 8, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6?$94.09Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6?$94.01Jun 6, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$94.09Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$94.00May 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$3.80May 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$98.10May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$98.00May 26, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.10May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.00May 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$98.00May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$97.91May 15, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$97.90May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$97.80May 12, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$97.10May 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$97.01May 10, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$97.19May 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$97.01May 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$1.14May 7, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $54.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.