Last-Testament
0x1c1e841584db14084e10e7dca2ad0ab7b60dbfe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11256 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$253.27
$208.05
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
183 shares @ 63.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.19
$53.72
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$115.00
$74.83
- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$82.25
$-12.15
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$82.25
$-12.15
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.00
$14.83
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.00
$14.83
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.50
$7.62
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.25
$-59.15
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.25
$-59.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.