Scary-Advent
0x1c44cf7dd30fb1b84f68c0f947e9958af995b452
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?
97 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- PENGUINS
Sabres vs. Penguins
84 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-41.16
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 25?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Real Betis win La Liga?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Penguins$41.16Mar 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.11Jan 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$0.10Dec 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.12Dec 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.05Nov 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.07Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis win La Liga?$0.08Nov 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis win La Liga?$0.05Nov 14, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 5, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.15Nov 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$0.82Oct 27, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Oct 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.13Oct 24, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 25?$0.15Oct 24, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.14Oct 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 24, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 24, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 24, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $42.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".