Dear-Physiology
0x1c53d609d7344c343c7e1e5176923656b32165b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-96.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 21?
236 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 25?
174 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 12?
166 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?
145 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 16?
134 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 5?
112 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 28?
103 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 July 13-19?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 17?
84 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
78 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?$125.40Jul 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?$0.27Jul 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?$0.12Jul 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?$122.50Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 July 13-19?$1.65Jul 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 5?$1.91Jul 4, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$3.40Jul 1, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$133.01Jun 1, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$0.04May 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$0.11May 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 31?$131.00May 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 25?$6.13May 24, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$139.34May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$136.27May 22, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$2.18May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?$146.67May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?$144.47May 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$127.50May 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$0.00Apr 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$125.97Apr 19, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $42.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.