Magnificent-Guilt
0x1c706f508432f41533e7ab636d82b7684d12edc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$753.17
Total PnL
$-67.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
919 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$156.67
$0.46
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
919 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$155.79
$1.38
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
922 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.76
$-1.38
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
924 shares @ 10.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.44
$-6.93
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
918 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.20
$2.30
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
928 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.15
$-3.34
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
951 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.71
$4.28
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
36 shares @ 41.3¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 1?
16 shares @ 31.8¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.86
$5.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 1?
34 shares @ 14.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.56
$1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$15.26Jun 1, 04:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 1?$5.17May 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on June 1?$5.24May 31, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 1?$5.21May 31, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28May 31, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?$71.35May 31, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.55May 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.09May 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85.77May 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95.89May 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106.91May 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$158.26May 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$160.10May 31, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?$6.73May 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$10.28May 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?$10.26May 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$22.73Dec 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$30.35Nov 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$30.35Nov 13, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $46.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".