Fatherly-Victim
0x1c708b8f85d1b58970dd8a57385a19b1792c4c51
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$377.06
Realised
$187.78
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$318.00
$134.00
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
225 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$224.32
$9.28
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
200 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$199.20
$4.12
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
180 shares @ 85.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$170.10
$16.40
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
165 shares @ 83.6¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$142.86
$4.89
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 60.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.00
$13.33
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
144 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.91
$7.29
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$132.50
$-17.50
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
130 shares @ 82.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$112.45
$5.50
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
125 shares @ 76.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$108.31
$13.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$41.72Jun 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$41.85Jun 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$21.00Jun 14, 09:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$50.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$50.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$34.99Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$5.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$24.40Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$4.61Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$29.67Jun 12, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Tom Cotton as the next Director of National Intelligence?$20.00Jun 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$19.83Jun 12, 14:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?$8.17Jun 11, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$24.02Jun 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$4.20Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$21.25Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?$46.00Jun 11, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $28.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.