0x1c76ba18d6b1a99042a47c57e309bc36da8671f2
0x1c76ba18d6b1a99042a47c57e309bc36da8671f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$30.54
Total PnL
$-1.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.34
$0.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 14.4¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.29
$-0.04
- NO
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
191 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 25.2¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.03Jun 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jun 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jun 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jun 6, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMHungary vs. Finland: O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 6, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Finland (-2.5)$3.01Jun 6, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Finland (-2.5)$3.02Jun 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHungary vs. Finland: O/U 0.5$1.03Jun 5, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.46Jun 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.46Jun 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.07Jun 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.09Jun 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Jun 5, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 5, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".