Scientific-Leading
0x1c8969b765c9fb1230575e38d37d3d7132da0177
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$68.42
Total PnL
$-173.50
Realised
$57.45
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
70 shares @ 12.6¢·now 24.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.36
$8.56
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.50
$5.64
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
140 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.54
$-2.66
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
130 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.06
$0.73
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.47
$2.49
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
190 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.18
$-1.15
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.60
$2.80
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
60 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-2.52
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
80 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.88
$-1.32
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?$0.60Jun 6, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?$0.90Jun 6, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?$0.70Jun 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?$1.42Jun 5, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.05Jun 5, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.58Jun 5, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?$0.02Jun 4, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on June 4?$0.00Jun 4, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on June 4?$0.60Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.60Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.33Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.09Jun 4, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.09Jun 4, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.05Jun 4, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$2.43Jun 4, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on June 4?$2.10Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.34Jun 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.80Jun 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.