Memorable-Data
0x1ca59b4088339065440836b425c586f02c9480f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$254.58
Total PnL
$-7.27
Realised
$10.61
Win rate
82%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$13.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
14 shares @ 82.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.19
$-0.30
- FIRE FLUX ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Honvéd (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
18 shares @ 52.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$10.22
$0.90
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$8.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?
19 shares @ 45.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.06
$-0.59
- YES
Will Trump say "Ass" in August?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.40
$-0.60
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.27
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.25
$-0.05
- BESTIA
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$7.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?$4.62Aug 1, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.50Aug 1, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.80Aug 1, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?$7.70Aug 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$6.40Aug 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.88Aug 1, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$6.30Aug 1, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?$7.60Aug 1, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$3.65Aug 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$5.95Aug 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$2.65Aug 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$1.00Aug 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$3.65Aug 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1.10Aug 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$8.10Aug 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$2.70Aug 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$2.50Aug 1, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$1.10Aug 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$9.09Aug 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by December 31?$5.90Aug 1, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
83/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
33 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.