Negligible-Innocence
0x1ca88c3ba2dabc3a1ac368835733344c465b48c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-12.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-29 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 8?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 18?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$90.01Jun 1, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$89.18Jun 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$89.00May 23, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$89.09May 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$89.01May 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$89.09May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$89.00May 13, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$89.18May 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$89.01May 7, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$89.09May 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$89.00May 4, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$89.09May 4, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$89.00Apr 26, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$89.17Apr 26, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$89.00Apr 23, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$89.17Apr 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$89.00Apr 18, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?$88.08Apr 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?$88.00Apr 15, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?$88.08Apr 15, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".