Careless-Bug
0x1caa6a7ad0c6916aef7b67946de2e57ad24846a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$615.09
Total PnL
$-136.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
72364 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$615.09
$-19.4K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
590076 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-78.8K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
298387 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.6K
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
50000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
18251 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.6K
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
13659 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- VANDERBILT COMMODORES
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
8890 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$6.14Mar 26, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$2.93Mar 26, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.98Mar 26, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$5.68Mar 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.38Mar 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$25.88Mar 26, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$593.94Mar 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$5.68Mar 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.33Mar 26, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.16Mar 26, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$209.72Mar 26, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.33Mar 26, 00:34 UTC
- REWARD$29.47Mar 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.16Mar 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$764.30Mar 25, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.79Mar 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.33Mar 25, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$16.07Mar 25, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.33Mar 25, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $51.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.