Watchful-Tissue
0x1cba1062e69007826182227ab071d40364c793d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$12.5K
Total PnL
$-86.8K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
3108 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.1K
$124.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
3000 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$3.0K
$771.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
2070 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$245.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.5K
$510.00
- YES
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
999 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$998.99
$159.84
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
854 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$853.99
$60.55
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
777 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$777.00
$54.39
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
210 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.75
$5.25
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$0.27
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
210 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.53
$-138.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$71.89Jan 1, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$99.70Jan 1, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$99.70Jan 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$69.79Jan 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$99.70Dec 31, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$9.97Dec 31, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$26.00Dec 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$20.56Dec 25, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.2KDec 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$46.13Dec 23, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$23.52Dec 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$990.00Dec 23, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.2KDec 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$38.83Dec 23, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.8KDec 22, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.8KDec 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.6KDec 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.6KDec 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.5KDec 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBrown University shooter arrested by December 19?$1.5KDec 19, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $440.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".