Hopeful-Gravel
0x1cbd4148630bd021635becfed9413c3e4f657f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.15
Total PnL
$-471.78
Realised
$103.93
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
812 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.65
$-1.22
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
837 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
375 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
177 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
160 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
157 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.11Jun 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$104.21May 30, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.20May 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$108.97May 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$81.68May 30, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.14May 30, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$8.95May 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$8.81May 29, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$7.42May 29, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$7.15May 29, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$8.38May 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$8.55May 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$7.33May 29, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$7.61May 29, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$17.79May 29, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$15.24May 29, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$20.64May 29, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$23.20May 29, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".