Pastel-Achievement
0x1cc365df15d71017d19cf8fe5a3b4659d9cccef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-461.98
Realised
$172.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1461 shares @ 44.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$683.81
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
764 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$742.50
$3.54
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
525 shares @ 65.9¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$460.68
$114.49
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?
300 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$290.85
$8.85
- ANTHROPIC + OPENAI
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?
300 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$289.65
$1.65
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
350 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.75
$26.25
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 87.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$238.50
$-24.50
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
250 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$206.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
115 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.47
$1.15
- YES
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$109.00
$29.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?$4.71Jun 7, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 5, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?$16.40Jun 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$294.24Jun 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$445.67Jun 1, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$314.99Jun 1, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$728.90Jun 1, 18:38 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?$81.92May 31, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?$265.13May 31, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$29.27May 30, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$0.76May 30, 16:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.60May 30, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.61May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$15.32May 29, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$30.64May 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?$7.57May 29, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$134.00May 29, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?$1.00May 29, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $59.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.