Wan-Magic
0x1cc90490fef590c45b45acef7d17ad62e2f25383
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$-23.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?
6 shares @ 18.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- KEI NISHIKORI
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikori
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- JOAO LUCAS DA SILVA
Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Juan Carlos Prado
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
3 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?$2.00Mar 31, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?$1.00Mar 27, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?$1.00Mar 27, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.07Mar 16, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?$2.56Mar 16, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.08Mar 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?$6.00Mar 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 9, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 9, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 9, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$15.70Mar 9, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.