0x1cfba86caf46759286598b487017af565ee285e7
0x1cfba86caf46759286598b487017af565ee285e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.69
Total PnL
$-0.33
Realised
$6.63
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
29 shares @ 7.6¢·now 23.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.94
$4.72
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 9.6¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.25
$0.45
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 27.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.65
$1.23
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.68
$-1.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$-1.39
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
6 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-0.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.88
$-0.63
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.03
- NO
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
32 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.97
- ZERO TENACITY
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.51Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.78Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.51Jun 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.51Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.29Jun 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.97Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.51Jun 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.19Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.51Jun 11, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.51Jun 11, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner$1.97Jun 10, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$1.67Jun 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$1.52Jun 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner$1.56Jun 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner$1.53Jun 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner$1.56Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner$1.55Jun 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner$1.55Jun 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.62Jun 9, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.51Jun 9, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.