0x1d080a47797a4ad317547efe41e444012ab070cf
0x1d080a47797a4ad317547efe41e444012ab070cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$61.47
Total PnL
$-45.59
Realised
$0.41
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
17 shares @ 70.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.55
$4.85
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.33
$6.73
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
10 shares @ 84.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.23
$1.51
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.76
$0.81
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
4 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.82
$0.17
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.72
$0.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.60
$0.23
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$0.06
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$0.22
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.08
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.70Mar 20, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$4.90Mar 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$6.36Mar 18, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$4.90Mar 18, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.08Mar 18, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.14Mar 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5$1.31Mar 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5$1.31Mar 18, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$8.89Mar 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$0.05Mar 17, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.26Mar 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$4.90Mar 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.24Mar 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Mar 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.05Mar 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.05Mar 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.03Mar 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.08Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.09Mar 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.11Mar 17, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 11:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.