Wrong-Mango
0x1d377290090bd530c198f71e596db38b80c2f1d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-276.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" 2+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
212 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
67 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.15
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
39 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$171.21Jul 7, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$81.10Jul 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$81.11Jul 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$72.88Jun 29, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$72.80Jun 29, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$64.72Jun 29, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$64.80Jun 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$61.67Jun 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$52.63Jun 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$2.61Jun 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.00Jun 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$42.00Jun 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.31Jun 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?$4.36Jun 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?$10.20Jun 11, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.65Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jun 11, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$9.14Jun 11, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?$28.63Jun 9, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?$40.36Jun 9, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.