Equatorial-Characterization
0x1d48eaf3d73313a6a0786908f4aaafe09739cd1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$365.85
Total PnL
$-20.31
Realised
$26.94
Win rate
29%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
86 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$86.00
$43.86
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
52 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$52.00
$20.55
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
46 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$46.00
$8.28
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$43.00
$18.06
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
31 shares @ 82.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.36
$4.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$15.00
$4.65
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 67.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.78
$4.64
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$14.00
$5.04
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$13.00
$7.02
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$11.00
$1.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$1.19Jan 16, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$8.36Jan 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$7.72Jan 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$2.98Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$4.05Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$8.10Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$8.91Jan 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$19.68Jan 16, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$0.40Jan 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$0.91Jan 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$12.59Jan 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$8.47Jan 16, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$3.58Jan 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$1.21Jan 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$1.05Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.96Jan 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.45Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.90Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.40Jan 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$2.34Jan 15, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.