Decent-Drop
0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$88.8K
Total PnL
$829.30
Realised
$343.64
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
44000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$43.9K
$172.17
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
25996 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$25.9K
$117.11
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$9.6K
$-10.00
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
5000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.0K
$27.51
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
4000 shares @ 87.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$176.37
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
715 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$713.96
$2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 28, 10:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 27, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.5KJul 27, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.43Jul 27, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.58Jul 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$29.43Jul 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.4KJul 27, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.0KJul 25, 04:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$6.8KJul 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$4.2KJul 24, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$99.80Jul 24, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$49.90Jul 24, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.