Profitable-Expectation
0x1d69c66dda6a9283c6dcc3c76faa5468fd16964a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$29.17
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$50.88
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
155 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?
578 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$6.11Jun 11, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.38Jun 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.81Jun 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.00Jun 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.01Jun 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.25Jun 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$20.90Jun 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$10.41Jun 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.05Jun 11, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.46Jun 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$9.96Jun 11, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.22Jun 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$7.35Jun 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.11Jun 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$20.79Jun 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$10.45Jun 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$14.62Jun 11, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.