Amused-Retreat
0x1d8187dfd843a99acc4cc60ec41838bf41c32c10
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.39
Total PnL
$-1.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.25
$0.26
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$1.27Apr 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.80Apr 26, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$1.25Apr 26, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00Apr 26, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$1.00Apr 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?$1.00Apr 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.23Apr 24, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.41Apr 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$1.00Apr 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet again by April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.