Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-24.5pp
24h Vol
$153.99
Liquidity
$264.77
Probability (last 7 days)
-37.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 25pp over 24h
Now 20¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.4h
- 13:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:34PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.0pp
to 20¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 21¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 22¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 21¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 21¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.5pp
to 17¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 46¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 46¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 44¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 44¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 1¢-1.9pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 26¢-10.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $781.5K
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $766.3K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $757.3K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $693.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).