Starry-Thyme
0x1d899384f1a5e5113b5ec0ced78b090ba6b036f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$476.08
Total PnL
$-15.03
Realised
$27.89
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
491 shares @ 56.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$316.75
$40.83
- YES
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.10
$7.91
- NO
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?
51 shares @ 50.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.51
$-2.85
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.84
$2.09
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.10
$0.30
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 26.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.07
$5.78
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
14 shares @ 68.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.83
$-0.71
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 38.6¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.52
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.19May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$25.43May 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$25.24May 17, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?$20.48May 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?$13.80May 16, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.18May 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.71May 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.90May 14, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?$4.00May 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$15.58May 14, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.71May 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.66May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.82May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.29May 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.49May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.20May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.91May 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.67May 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$13.60May 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$24.86May 14, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".