Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?
Probability
70¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$1.09
Liquidity
$286.80
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 70¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 42.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6014.3h
- 14:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 66¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 70¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 66¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 66¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the CryptoPunks floor price dips to 20 ETH or lower at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "CryptoPunks price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/cryptopunks, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart. Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (42.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).