Quick-Behaviour
0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$203.80
Total PnL
$765.04
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
85%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1960 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$46.05
$45.50
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1592 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.48
$24.98
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1635 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.07
$21.61
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6056 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.14
$9.54
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1299 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.74
$9.73
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6056 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.08
$3.49
- YES
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1881 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.52
$6.40
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1623 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.68
$5.22
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5784 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.89
$2.64
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5713 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.86
$2.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?$24.06Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?$24.14Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?$24.29Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?$24.00Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?$10.00Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?$24.01Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?$24.32Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$2.02Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.00Jun 12, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.00Jun 12, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.00Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.55Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.22Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.01Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.01Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.01Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.01Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.00Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.01Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.