Quick-Behaviour
0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$261.22
Realised
$178.57
Win rate
58%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
70 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.15
$6.29
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.77
$0.38
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.75
$0.53
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.52
$0.64
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$48.10
$-1.40
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$47.33
$-0.37
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 98.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$46.67
$-2.66
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 93.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$44.75
$-2.01
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 98.8¢·now 88.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$44.20
$-5.18
- NO
Will Joey Bosa play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 74.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$37.20
$-12.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?$1.69Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4?$3.25Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?$2.94Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$1.80Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?$9.03Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?$4.92Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4?$7.86Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?$2.63Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?$4.47Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?$2.84Jul 28, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 28?$21.00Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$21.00Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 28?$20.80Jul 26, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$19.82Jul 26, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$1.34Jul 26, 18:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
60 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.