Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$15.18
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3056h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 78.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3055.9h
- 16:03SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3056h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:03PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 41¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 41¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 42¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 42¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 45¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 37¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 38¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 39¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 40¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 62¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 62¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 43¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next team Joey Bosa officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Joey Bosa does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (78.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).