Only-Baker
0x1d9bbe83dbb827f623ed483e7fe8388c2e259248
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.63
Total PnL
$-778.86
Realised
$2.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
1339 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-72.54
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
1163 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-276.97
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
1045 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-137.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
720 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-219.26
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
646 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
246 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
179 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$44.36Apr 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$250.65Apr 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$300.85Apr 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$249.85Apr 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Apr 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$249.87Apr 11, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$13.26Apr 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.05Apr 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Apr 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Apr 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$7.20Apr 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$24.11Apr 9, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$30.47Apr 8, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$15.00Apr 8, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 8, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$30.00Apr 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$16.00Apr 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$36.08Apr 8, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.