Obedient-First
0x1daadf29233270499aad9d835fc5af1ff9d1e93d
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$945.40
Total PnL
$43.66
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?
617 shares @ 24.2¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.67
$-13.64
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$120.83
$20.83
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.00
$42.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$112.00
$6.00
- YES
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?
270 shares @ 26.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$111.89
$41.19
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
268 shares @ 33.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.59
$-6.99
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?
542 shares @ 16.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$81.29
$-6.11
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
444 shares @ 13.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.90
$-8.34
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.76
$-5.23
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
149 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.95
$3.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?$2.30Jun 2, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?$2.30Jun 2, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$2.08Jun 2, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$1.00Jun 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$1.93Jun 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$0.30Jun 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$0.17Jun 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$0.30Jun 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$0.31Jun 2, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?$5.20Jun 2, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$41.11Jun 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 2, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?$0.15Jun 2, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.28Jun 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.15Jun 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.28Jun 1, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 1, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$38.39Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$13.80Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".