Nippy-Ephemera
0x1dc3c865771519b3aead328ad5f409b7d819c73a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$31.13
Total PnL
$-561.65
Realised
$-2.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
7 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.12
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$-0.00
- ASTROS
Astros vs. Mariners
1210 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-544.50
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.02Jun 3, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$7.02Jun 3, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.01Jun 3, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 3, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$14.88Jun 3, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.12Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.11Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.26Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.82Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$6.40Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.71Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.84Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$6.98Jun 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$6.56Oct 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.11Oct 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$6.23Oct 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$5.99Oct 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$6.01Oct 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$7.01Oct 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.4KSep 26, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $507.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".