YES — currently 36% implied probability on Polymarket. Change in last 24h: +0.0pp. Resolution sourced from https://www.nba.com/, resolves by Jun 4, 2026.

NO — currently 64% implied probability on Polymarket. Resolution sourced from https://www.nba.com/, resolves by Jun 4, 2026.

Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-03 renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-sas-2026-06-03/markdown.

SportsExpires Jun 4, 2026

Creator

Knicks vs. Spurs

Probability

36¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$23.4K

Liquidity

$101.3K

Research loop

Inspect detail

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

Markets Detail Watchlist Alert Brief

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

LIVE

Reason

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 4, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

36¢

May 31, 2026, 05:00 UTCMay 31, 2026, 05:46 UTC

updated 07:48:12 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-31T07-48Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

01
Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 4, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Share risk card Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

Jun 4, 00:30 UTCScheduled resolution
Market resolves in 88.7h
LOW
07:48Signal
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

updated 07:48:12 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

BUYKNICKS
Agitated-Bricklaying$1.81@ 36¢
May 31, 07:43 UTC

updated 07:48:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 3 at 8:30PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Why this category?

confidence: high

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Knicks vs. Spurs"?

As of Sun, 31 May 2026 07:48:12 GMT, YES is priced at 36% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 4, 2026 (2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.nba.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$23.4K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $23.4K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $101.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket