Ornate-Zootsuit
0x1de13124cb5b956618d0a3d9129f3c19e08dbabe
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$11.71
Total PnL
$-32.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.64
$1.64
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
33 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$1.00Jan 19, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 19, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$1.00Jan 3, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$1.00Jan 2, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?$1.00Jan 2, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Dec 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)$1.00Dec 14, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.11Dec 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Dec 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.00Dec 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Dec 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.00Dec 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$2.00Dec 10, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.00Dec 10, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.