Sad-Element
0x1dfdc93088026151f48a51ebebb70b3c666d6247
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$-119.47
Realised
$148.26
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5044 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$9.94
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2604 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.6K
$61.20
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2392 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$-6.52
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2588 shares @ 96.7¢·now 84.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.2K
$-320.95
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
898 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$889.69
$9.43
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
742 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$690.67
$-20.41
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
49 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.64
$-0.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.22Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.