Kaleidoscopic-Accident
0x1e03cfbf1948b7d833cf9693d6db8c9cf38f0260
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.20
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.90
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 1?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 1?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.00May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$20.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$19.98May 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$19.96May 11, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?$0.00May 11, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 11, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?$8.24May 11, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 1?$1.70Mar 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?$3.00Mar 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 1?$1.95Mar 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?$7.20Mar 31, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$6.10Mar 31, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.80Mar 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.90Mar 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET$0.02Feb 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET$0.01Feb 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET$0.04Feb 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET$0.01Feb 23, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".