Dimpled-Lunchmeat
0x1e0a7e0ab54f1e16a40f7242a5e329ca2d9038d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$377.01
Total PnL
$34.03
Realised
$-5.97
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1021 shares @ 23.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$290.76
$49.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
196 shares @ 30.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.25
$27.44
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
4155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
3695 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- NO
Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?
1612 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?
1210 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
1155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
1080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- BET-M 33
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $12.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.