Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$59.91
Liquidity
$4.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 371h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 371.4h
- 12:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 371h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 49¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 61¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the individual who wins Season 24 of American IdolAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).