Naughty-Bail
0x1e1128398409d89cc6e65bdf66635fab53fc27dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$7.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
23358 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-177.92
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
4500 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-604.98
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
4000 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
800 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-102.40
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
800 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-152.80
- NO
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
520 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-296.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$35.00Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$13.30Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$2.03Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$16.46Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$27.36Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$9.00Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$21.86Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$150.00Mar 22, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$318.09Mar 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$17.90Mar 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$144.00Mar 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.18Mar 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.70Mar 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.52Mar 13, 18:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Mar 9, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$190.22Mar 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$66.28Mar 8, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$39.90Mar 8, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?$0.75Mar 8, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?$0.01Mar 8, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.