Bite-Sized-Owl
0x1e301374eb67a90a57f4694f82520aafeb27db49
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$28.19
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
18 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$17.89
$5.19
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 74.7¢·now 78.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.39
$0.39
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.03
$-2.97
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
11967 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
4624 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
15 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.88
- OVER
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$12.96Jul 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$12.88Jul 8, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5$10.99Jul 8, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.09Jun 19, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$3.08Jun 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5$1.03Jun 19, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5$10.03Jun 19, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$31.95Jun 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$30.09May 27, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-2.5)$5.8KApr 23, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$2.3KApr 23, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5$8.0KApr 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5$4.0KApr 22, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$3.02Apr 22, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMOver $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?$4.02Apr 22, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$4.17Apr 22, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?$4.00Mar 4, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.00Mar 4, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$3.00Mar 4, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?$2.05Mar 4, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $585.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.