Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Probability
71¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$197.12
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 858.1h
- 11:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 858h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 71¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 71¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 71¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 71¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 71¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 71¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 71¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 71¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 71¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 72¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 70¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 71¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 71¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 67¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $251.55
- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Business · Vol $193.14
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company C be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company E be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company I be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company O be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company P be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Company R be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $707.3K
- 35¢-5.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $579.7K
- 87¢+1.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $560.9K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $540.5K
- 100¢+12.4pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Other · Vol $412.1K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).