0x1e350b89e61243621eac949392d807bf7cfb29a3
0x1e350b89e61243621eac949392d807bf7cfb29a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-234.55
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1803 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-711.62
- TALLISON TEIXEIRA
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
469 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-83.52
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
348 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-267.79
- YES
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5
344 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-152.20
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?
247 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-98.60
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?
199 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-73.53
- YES
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?
41 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$269.64Jun 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$269.63Jun 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$176.10Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-16?$176.11Jun 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$149.86Jun 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-06-03?$20.86Jun 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAlbania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5$20.84Jun 3, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlbania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5$85.13Jun 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$85.15Jun 3, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$21.48Jun 3, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$21.47Jun 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$38.11Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$38.12Jun 3, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$9.68Jun 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$9.69Jun 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$9.84Jun 3, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$9.84Jun 3, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.01Jun 3, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$10.00Jun 3, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$42.69Jun 3, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $69.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.