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0x1e412e5c3b32ca734c858274e2699d7e82d81f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.59
Total PnL
$-62.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?
12 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$12.41
$-0.03
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30?
8256 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 8?
4175 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 7?
4165 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?
4140 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?
2096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12?
2092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 10?
2092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?$12.44Jul 1, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.65Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.49Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.48Jun 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.64Jun 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$4.60Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$4.60Jun 12, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$6.53Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$6.50May 30, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$6.53May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$6.50May 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$6.52May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$6.50May 12, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$6.32May 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$6.30May 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$4.21Apr 26, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?$4.19Apr 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.19Apr 21, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 19, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $719.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.