Testy-Tugboat
0x1e499f764363ba4ba973b11c4a24b9577a7bcc2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$11.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2416 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.3K
$36.09
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2700 shares @ 8.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$284.85
$47.25
- YES
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?
298 shares @ 85.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$275.35
$21.43
- NO
Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?
244 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$241.19
$5.71
- NO
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?
166 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$163.57
$6.96
- YES
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
92 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.21
$2.31
- YES
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 26.2¢·now 42.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.51
$4.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
20483 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-162.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5667 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-968.03
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
4978 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?$6.85Jun 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$26.18Jun 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.54Jun 9, 14:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$374.16Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$504.37Jun 1, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$118.36May 30, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $163.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.