Piercing-Perpendicular
0x1e5e72054c7825788daf21dff4e48fbf5e64885c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$48.92
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$53.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
73 shares @ 27.3¢·now 24.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$17.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.11
$-20.89
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.08
$-37.92
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
1304 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?
414 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
376 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-97.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.58Jul 28, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.73Jul 28, 03:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$74.81Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$0.00Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals$10.49Jul 18, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$150.31Jul 18, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$49.90Jul 18, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$31.47Jul 18, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$10.48Jul 18, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$10.00Jul 18, 16:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 2+ goals$10.48Jul 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.15Jul 15, 17:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $26.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.