OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 31, 2026

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability

6¢

-0.1pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$1.0K

Liquidity

$34.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.8pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:22

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 4524.6h
LOW
11:22Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4525h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
11:22Price
Probability down -3.9pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBallon d'Or Winner 2026

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Oct 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’OrAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket