Mindless-Post
0x1e6621891865a07f7985b2cb6149b5abbd3a3618
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.93
$-0.07
- PACERS
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
5360 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$6.82Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$10.30Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.05Jul 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$3.08Jul 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$7.01Jul 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$25.97Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?$8.32Jul 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 17, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.48Jun 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-3.5)$71.05May 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 20, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$2.02May 20, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by March 13?$2.15May 20, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$3.09May 20, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$3.13May 20, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Magic$10.00May 20, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.97May 20, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.07May 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Magic$9.10Mar 26, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 10, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $401.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.