Punctual-Freak
0x1e66abb6c966fa1ffbedec7af06190cbcf9441e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.07
Total PnL
$479.40
Realised
$498.58
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?
4 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.07
$0.04
- YES
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- NO
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
857 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
RipCars FDV above $7.5M one day after launch?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?
685 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.69
- NO
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?
373 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
327 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
198 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
192 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch
182 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.52Aug 9, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$2.58Aug 9, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$2.23Aug 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$1.00Aug 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.09Aug 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$3.31Aug 7, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.30Aug 6, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.93Aug 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$6.71Aug 6, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$0.02Aug 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.31Aug 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.48Aug 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$2.85Aug 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.37Aug 5, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?$3.72Aug 5, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.11Aug 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$1.52Aug 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.63Aug 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$0.88Aug 5, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.14Aug 5, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.